Commodities

Oil Holds Drop As Donald Trump Pledges Energy Push, Delays Tariffs

Published January 21, 2025

Oil prices saw a decline as Donald Trump announced plans to boost domestic energy production and postponed the introduction of tariffs related to China. On Monday, Brent crude settled at $80.15 a barrel, down by 0.8%, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for March delivery fell towards $76 a barrel.

Trump's administration is focusing on addressing unfair global trade practices rather than immediately imposing tariffs. He has hinted at potentially introducing tariffs on Canada and Mexico in the future. Additionally, he expressed intentions to refill the U.S. strategic oil reserve, which has reached levels not seen since the 1980s.

Energy Production and Tariffs

After a strong start to the year due to increased heating demand from cold weather in the Northern Hemisphere and strict sanctions imposed on Russia’s oil industry, analysts are closely watching Trump's energy policies. His first day in office included an executive order to withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement and plans to reverse climate change policies set by the previous administration.

Despite the drop in oil prices, there remains a potential for further disruptions to global oil flows. Trump's Treasury Secretary nominee supports intensified actions against Russia, which may introduce more uncertainty in oil markets. Sanctions on other countries like Iran and Venezuela are also on the table, which could further influence crude prices.

Market Reactions and Future Outlook

Market experts indicate that Trump's lack of clarity regarding tariffs and sanctions raises concerns for a possible short-term correction in crude oil prices. Robert Rennie from Westpac Banking Corp notes that increased U.S. output could lead to additional pressure on oil prices.

Moreover, developments in the Yemen conflict may also impact the markets. The Houthis indicated they would cease attacks on U.S. and U.K. vessels in the Red Sea, following a ceasefire agreement linked to the ongoing Israel-Hamas situation.

With these evolving dynamics, traders and investors are keeping a close watch on future policy announcements from the Trump administration that could significantly affect oil prices and market stability.

oil, Trump, sanctions