Markets

Rupee Opens Stronger Against US Dollar

Published January 22, 2025

The Indian rupee opened stronger against the US dollar on Wednesday. This movement came as the market continued to analyze the newly inaugurated President Trump's plans regarding tariffs and oil production.

Market Overview

According to data from Bloomberg, the rupee gained 2 paise, starting the day at 86.56 against the dollar. In the previous day’s trading, it had closed at 86.58 against the dollar.

The dollar index, which tracks the performance of the dollar against six major currencies, rose by 0.05%, standing at 108.11.

Impact of Crude Oil Prices

In the commodities market, March futures of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude saw a notable decrease, dropping by 2.6% and trading at $75.89 a barrel. Meanwhile, Brent crude futures remained steady during morning trade.

Market analysts, including Anil Kumar Bhansali, head of treasury and executive director at Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP, expressed that the market is processing President Trump's energy policies, particularly his declaration of a national energy emergency on his first day in office. Trump has outlined ambitious plans to boost oil production, following the withdrawal from the Paris Climate Accord and the rollback of various environmental protections, in line with his 'Drill Baby Drill' campaign.

Federal Reserve Insights

Kunal Sodhani from Shinhan Bank noted that the Federal Reserve remains focused on data-driven approaches, with a consensus among market participants leaning towards a potential interest rate cut in June.

For the USD/INR currency pair, support is seen at 86.30, while resistance is identified at 86.65.

Future Outlook

The rupee’s performance may further hinge on developments regarding crude oil prices and Federal Reserve policies. Keeping an eye on these factors could provide traders and investors with insights into future movements in the currency market.

Rupee, Dollar, Market