Earnings

Will RBC Bearings (RBC) Continue Its Earnings Success in the Upcoming Report?

Published October 16, 2024

Investors often seek stocks that have a track record of exceeding earnings expectations, and RBC Bearings (RBC) is one such stock worth considering. Operating within the Zacks Manufacturing - General Industrial industry, RBC has shown promising performance in recent earnings reports.

Strong Performance in Recent Quarters

In its last two earnings reports, RBC Bearings has consistently outperformed estimates, marking a remarkable streak of earnings surprises. On average, the company has surpassed earnings expectations by about 6.82% in the previous two quarters.

For the last quarter, RBC reported earnings of $2.54 per share, which was significantly higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.37 per share. This resulted in a surprise of 7.17%. In the quarter before that, it was projected that the company would earn $2.32 per share, but it actually reported earnings of $2.47 per share, achieving a 6.47% surprise.

Positive Trends in Earnings Estimates

As a result of its impressive earnings history, RBC Bearings has seen upward revisions in its earnings estimates. The combination of a strong track record and an optimistic outlook is critical for predicting future performance. The stock's positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) also suggests that a positive surprise could be anticipated in the next earnings report.

Research indicates that stocks exhibiting a favorable Earnings ESP alongside a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of delivering a positive surprise. This statistic means that out of a sample of ten stocks with this favorable alignment, approximately seven may beat the consensus estimate.

Understanding Earnings ESP

The Zacks Earnings ESP measures the difference between the Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate for an earnings report. The Most Accurate Estimate reflects the latest insight from analysts, capturing any last-minute revisions based on new information, which can be more accurate than earlier predictions.

Currently, RBC Bearings has an Earnings ESP of +9.57%. This figure indicates that analysts are becoming increasingly optimistic about the company's near-term earnings potential. Coupled with a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold), this suggests that another earnings beat may be on the horizon.

Insights on Earnings Expectations

It's essential to note that a negative Earnings ESP can limit the reliability of the predictive power of this metric. However, a negative value does not necessarily mean that a company will miss its earnings target.

Many companies manage to beat the consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimates, but various factors contribute to stock movements beyond merely meeting or missing earnings expectations. Consequently, some stocks may maintain their value even when they fall short of estimates.

The Importance of Earnings ESP

Investors should pay close attention to a company's Earnings ESP before its quarterly release to enhance their chances of making informed investment decisions. Using the Earnings ESP Filter can help identify the most promising stocks to buy or sell prior to report announcements.

Earnings, Investing, Estimates