Stocks

Why BigBear.ai Stock Is Plummeting Today

Published February 24, 2025

BigBear.ai (BBAI -12.52%) experienced a significant decline in its stock price during Monday's trading session. As of 3:25 p.m. ET, the shares were down 12.3%. In contrast, the S&P 500 index fell by 0.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite index declined by 0.7%.

This drop in BigBear.ai's stock comes as investors are adjusting their portfolios ahead of Nvidia's upcoming fourth-quarter earnings report, due on Wednesday. Additionally, a major sell-off in Palantir stocks has likely contributed to the overall decline.

Impact of Nvidia and Palantir on BigBear.ai's Stock Decline

With Nvidia's fourth-quarter earnings report on the horizon, many investors are scaling back on their tech sector holdings. Companies like BigBear.ai, which have growth-dependent valuations, tend to see more pronounced declines in such situations. Investors appear to be worried about the potential market volatility if Nvidia's earnings and guidance turn out to be weaker than expected.

Furthermore, the downturn in Palantir's stock, which was down by 10.8% as of 3:25 p.m. ET, is creating additional pressure on BigBear.ai. Although Palantir is a larger and more powerful player in the AI market, both companies operate in similar industries. Some investors use Palantir's performance as a benchmark for evaluating BigBear.ai's growth prospects.

Future Outlook for BigBear.ai

This week, BigBear.ai's share price is likely to experience significant fluctuations in response to Nvidia's earnings report. In the longer term, there is another pivotal event that may greatly affect BigBear.ai's valuation.

BigBear.ai is set to release its fourth-quarter financial results after the market closes on March 6. In the previous quarter (Q3), the company reported a 22% year-over-year increase in sales, reaching $41.5 million. Moreover, the company anticipates its annual sales to fall between $165 million and $180 million. This projection suggests a significant acceleration in sales growth for Q4. However, investors will be keenly observing whether the company achieves improvements in its profit margins.

Note: The author has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. Additionally, it is worth noting that Nvidia and Palantir Technologies are both firms in which investment organizations hold positions. Disclosure policies apply.

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