Stocks

Shell (SHEL) Gains But Lags Market: What You Should Know

Published January 14, 2025

In the most recent trading session, Shell (SHEL) closed at $64.96, reflecting a modest increase of +0.03% from the previous day. While Shell's performance showed a slight upward movement, it did not meet the broader market's gains, as the S&P 500 achieved a +0.16% increase. In contrast, the Dow Jones Industrial Average saw a more significant rise of +0.86%, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq experienced a decline of -0.38%.

Looking back over the past month, Shell's shares have appreciated by 2.2%. This increase is noteworthy as it has outperformed the Oils-Energy sector, which suffered a drop of 9.81%, and the S&P 500's decline of 2.2% during the same period.

Investors are now paying close attention to Shell's upcoming earnings report, with projected earnings per share (EPS) set at $1.86. This figure indicates a decline of 16.22% compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Revenue estimates stand at $78.94 billion, reflecting a slight decrease of 1.48% year-over-year.

It is also crucial for investors to track recent changes in analyst estimates for Shell, as these adjustments often indicate the shifting short-term business trends. Positive revisions suggest that analysts are optimistic about the company’s operational capabilities and profit potential.

Based on our analyses, we believe these estimate revisions can correlate with near-term stock performances. To leverage this information, we utilize the Zacks Rank, a specialized model designed to consider these estimates and provide a performance rating.

The Zacks Rank ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell). Historical data shows that #1 ranked stocks have yielded an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Within the last month, consensus EPS projections for Shell have decreased by 5.6%, placing Shell at a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).

When evaluating Shell's market position, it currently trades at a Forward Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 9. In comparison, the average Forward P/E in its industry is approximately 8.67, which suggests that Shell is valued at a premium in its market category.

SHEL also holds a PEG ratio of 5.84, which, similar to the P/E ratio, considers expected earnings growth. In contrast, the Oil and Gas - Integrated - International industry had an average PEG ratio of 1.91 at the close of trade yesterday.

Within the broader context, the Oil and Gas - Integrated - International industry falls under the Oils-Energy sector, which currently ranks 79 in the Zacks Industry Rank. This positioning places it within the top 32% of over 250 industries evaluated.

The Zacks Industry Rank is determined by assessing the average Zacks Rank among individual companies in each sector. Historically, industries rated in the top 50% have shown twice the performance of those in the lower half.

Investors are encouraged to utilize platforms that provide comprehensive updates on these metrics and more, as business conditions continue to evolve in subsequent trading sessions.

Shell, Stocks, Market