Stocks

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to Know

Published December 27, 2024

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) closed its latest trading session at $188.50, reflecting a drop of -0.53% from the previous day. This decline is notably more significant compared to the S&P 500, which only fell by 0.04%. In contrast, the Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced a slight uptick of 0.07%, while the Nasdaq Composite, known for its technology focus, declined by 0.05%.

Over the past month, the stock of Palo Alto Networks has seen a total decrease of 1.39%. This performance lags behind the broader Computer and Technology sector, which enjoyed a gain of 5.93%, as well as the S&P 500's increase of 1.05%.

Investors are keenly anticipating the earnings report from Palo Alto Networks, which is expected to be released soon. Analysts predict that the company will report earnings of $0.76 per share, representing a year-over-year growth of 4.11%. Additionally, the consensus estimate foresees revenue reaching $2.24 billion, hinting at a robust growth rate of 13.22% compared to the same quarter last year.

Looking ahead to the full year, the current Zacks Consensus Estimates point toward earnings of $3.07 per share and revenue of approximately $9.15 billion, translating to growth rates of 8.1% and 13.98% respectively when compared to the prior year.

Investors should pay attention to recent adjustments made by analysts regarding their earnings forecasts for Palo Alto Networks. These adjustments often signal shifts in short-term business trends. Generally, positive revisions in estimates are interpreted as favorable indicators for the company's future performance.

Research indicates a strong correlation between these estimate changes and short-term stock price movements. To leverage this information, a proprietary model known as the Zacks Rank has been developed. It utilizes these estimate changes to offer a robust rating system.

The Zacks Rank ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell) and has demonstrated a strong historical performance, with #1 rated stocks averaging an annual return of +25% since 1988. Recently, the Zacks consensus estimate for Palo Alto Networks' earnings has increased by 0.06%. Currently, the company holds a Zacks Rank of #3, indicating a hold recommendation.

In terms of valuation, Palo Alto Networks is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 61.68. This is considerably higher than the industry average Forward P/E of 33.27, suggesting that Palo Alto Networks' stock may be overvalued in comparison to its peers.

Another important metric to consider is the company's PEG ratio, which stands at 3.16. This ratio, similar to the traditional P/E ratio, takes into account the firm's expected earnings growth rate. For context, Internet Software stocks are currently averaging a PEG ratio of 2.4 based on recent closing prices.

Palo Alto Networks operates within the Internet-Software segment of the Computer and Technology sector, which currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 28, placing it in the top 12% of over 250 industries evaluated.

The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the strength of individual industry sectors based on the average Zacks Rank of the stocks they consist of. Historical data shows that industries that place in the top half outperform those in the lower half by a margin of 2 to 1.

Investors are encouraged to use these insights and metrics to guide their trading decisions as they follow developments in the stock market.

PaloAlto, Stocks, Investing